Dilemma For Lukashenka

Every alley is a dead end.

The dilemma for Lukashenka: is it possible to buy Putin off in such a way as not to provoke a new revolutionary situation in Belarus?

Belarusians are sort of in the middle between Russians and Ukrainians in terms of temperament. No one can predict how the army, and subsequently the society, will behave if it suffers significant losses while storming the Ukrainian fortifications.

However, the dependence of the not-young dictator on Russia has grown to catastrophic limits. If you fail to fulfil the request, Moscow will find ‘another widow’ for Belarus.

What to do? To let only the Wagner units through the border, and leave your own troops to march along the border? But then again, those Wagner fighters are quite few. And will they be able to do anything with the Ukrainian army, which has become furious over the years of war? And if Ukraine retaliates? And if your own army supports the Ukrainian army? What then, to use nuclear weapons? And who will let you...

In general, wherever you go, every alley is a dead end. How to live, Baba Shura? ...

Vladimir Pastukhov, Telegram

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